Algeria’s president will comfortably lead the polls

Significance

President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has yet to declare his candidacy but is expected to do so. The establishment candidate seems certain to triumph given the support of national media, as well as the main political, economic and religious organisations.

Impacts

• Inflation is likely to remain high, eroding purchasing power.
• The government will blame Morocco and Israel for any disinformation campaigns during the election period.
• A decisive victory will bolster Tebboune's standing ahead of an anticipated visit to France in the second half of 2024.