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A road traffic accidents prediction model for traffic service robot

Chaohui Zhang (Business School, Jilin University, Changchun, China)
Yijing Li (Jilin University, Changchun, China)
Tian Li (Jilin University, Changchun, China)

Library Hi Tech

ISSN: 0737-8831

Article publication date: 11 December 2020

Issue publication date: 22 August 2022

472

Abstract

Purpose

In recent years, the demand for road traffic has continued to increase, but the casualties and economic losses caused by traffic accidents have also remained high. Therefore, the use of social service robots to manage, supervise and warn real-time traffic information has become an inevitable trend of traffic safety management.

Design/methodology/approach

In order to explore the inherent objective development law of road traffic accidents, in this paper, the factor analysis (FA) is used to explore the main influencing factors of traffic accidents, then the random forest algorithm is applied to build an FA–RF-based road traffic accident severity prediction model to predict two- and three-category accidents.

Findings

By comprehensively comparing the classification results of the two- and the three-category accident prediction, it also finds that due to the intersection between injuries and fatalities and the lack of necessarily external environmental information, the FA–RF model has a large degree of misjudgment for injuries and fatalities. Therefore, it is recommended to establish a real-time autonomous information communication mechanism between different kinds of social robots, which can improve the prediction of traffic accidents.

Originality/value

(1) A fusion model of FA–RF is considered to predict traffic accidents, which can be applied in traffic service robot. (2) It is recommended to establish a real-time autonomous information communication mechanism between different kinds of social robots, which can improve the prediction of traffic accidents.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

Funding: The major project of the key research base of humanities and social sciences of the Ministry of education “Research on the potential and realization path of China's stable economic growth in the new era” (17JJD790009).

Citation

Zhang, C., Li, Y. and Li, T. (2022), "A road traffic accidents prediction model for traffic service robot", Library Hi Tech, Vol. 40 No. 4, pp. 1031-1048. https://doi.org/10.1108/LHT-05-2020-0115

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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