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Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: the case of Malaysia

Mansor H. Ibrahim (Department of Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Serdang, Malaysia)

International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management

ISSN: 1753-8394

Article publication date: 30 March 2012

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the relation between gold return and stock market return and whether its relation changes in times of consecutive negative market returns for an emerging market, Malaysia.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper applies the autoregressive distributed model to link gold returns to stock returns with TGARCH/EGARCH error specification using daily data from August 1, 2001 to March 31, 2010, a total of 2,261 observations.

Findings

A significant positive but low correlation is found between gold and once‐lagged stock returns. Moreover, consecutive negative market returns do not seem to intensify the co‐movement between the gold and stock markets as normally documented among national stock markets in times of financial turbulences. Indeed, there is some evidence that the gold market surges when faced with consecutive market declines.

Practical implications

Based on these results, there are potential benefits of gold investment during periods of stock market slumps. The findings should prove useful for designing financial investment portfolios.

Originality/value

The paper evaluates the role of gold from a domestic perspective, which should be more relevant to domestic investors in guarding against recurring heightened stock market risk.

Keywords

Citation

Ibrahim, M.H. (2012), "Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: the case of Malaysia", International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, Vol. 5 No. 1, pp. 25-34. https://doi.org/10.1108/17538391211216802

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2012, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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