Price linkages between Australian housing and stock markets: wealth effect, credit effect, or capital switching?

Author(s):

Ming-Te Lee ( Ming Chuan University Taipei Taiwan )

Chyi Lin Lee ( University of Western Sydney Penrith Australia )

Ming-Long Lee ( National Dong Hwa University Shoufeng, Hualien Taiwan )

Chien-Ya Liao ( National Dong Hwa University Shoufeng, Hualien Taiwan )

Citation:

Ming-Te Lee, Chyi Lin Lee, Ming-Long Lee, Chien-Ya Liao, (2017) "Price linkages between Australian housing and stock markets: wealth effect, credit effect, or capital switching?", International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Vol. 10 Issue: 2, pp.-, doi: 10.1108/IJHMA-05-2016-0037

DOI

http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-05-2016-0037

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Abstract:

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine the linkages between Australian house prices and stock prices under the Toda and Yamamoto test framework. Specifically, it investigated whether there is a capital switching effect between house prices and stock prices.

Design/methodology/approach

This study examined the linkages between house prices and stock prices under the Toda and Yamamoto test framework. To accommodate the impact of the global financial crisis (GFC), a sub-period analysis was undertaken. To assess the impact of investor structure, the tests were also performed for small cap stocks and large cap stocks individually.

Findings

The empirical results reveal a negative lead-lag relationship between house prices and stock prices in Australia, suggesting the existence of capital switching activities between housing and stocks. The impact of the GFC on the lead-lag relationship between house prices and stock prices is also documented. Before the crisis, a causality transmission was running from house prices to stock prices, whilst stock prices appeared to lead house prices after the crisis. The capital switching activities between housing and stocks are more evident for small cap stocks.

Originality/value

This study is the first to examine the linkages between house prices and stock prices under the Toda and Yamamoto test framework. This is the first study to explore the impacts of the GFC on the lead-lag relationship between the two asset prices under the capital switching framework. This study is also the first to provide empirical evidence regarding the existence of capital switching activities between housing and stocks. In addition, the impact of investor structure on the interrelationship between the two asset prices is examined for the first time under the capital switching framework.

Publisher:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright:

© Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2017
Published by Emerald Group Publishing Limited