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How to be rigorous with scenario planning

Michel Godet (Professor and Holder of the Chaire de prospective industrielle du Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Departement Economie et Gestion, 292 rue Saint‐Martin, 75141 Paris Cedex 03, France)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 1 February 2000

2305

Abstract

In a recent issue of Futuribles, authors from the European Commission’s Forward Studies Unit outlined five scenarios for Europe 2010. The scenarios were constructed using the so‐called “shaping actors, shaping factors” method, claimed by the authors as specific to their unit. In this article, Michel Godet reacts to that claim and makes two fundamental criticisms of their methodology.

Keywords

Citation

Godet, M. (2000), "How to be rigorous with scenario planning", Foresight, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 5-9. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680010802438

Publisher

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MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 2000, MCB UP Limited

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