The Dow Jones Industrial Average: Issues of Downward Bias and Increased Volatility

Abstract

Does the method of divisor adjustment used for stocksplits in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) cause a downward bias in the average’s level and does this method of adjustment cause increased volatility in the average? To investigate these issues, two averages are created using DJIA stocks. One average is adjusted for stock splits through adjustment in the divisor. This method is identical to the DJIA method of adjustment.The other average makes adjustment for stock splits by adjusting the stock value in the numerator. Relative to these two methods of adjustment for stock splits, there sults of the study demonstrate that there is no downward bias of the DJIA. Additionally, it is found that the method of divisor adjustment for stock splits does not increase the volatility of the average. When compared to the Standard and Poor’s Industrial Index, the DJIA does show downward bias.

Citation

Mueller, P.A., Padmaraj, R.A. and St. John, R.C. (1999), "The Dow Jones Industrial Average: Issues of Downward Bias and Increased Volatility", American Journal of Business, Vol. 14 No. 1, pp. 41-52. https://doi.org/10.1108/19355181199900004