Designing a moving strategic foresight approach: ontological and methodological issues of scenario design
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to introduce movements in scenario methodology, to design a moving strategic foresight approach.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors firstly question the limits of plausibility from an ontological and epistemological perspective to expand scenarios beyond the boundaries of end-states. To incorporate ongoing changes in scenario methodology, the authors propose to explore scenario transformations within the conceptual framework of action-based scenarios.
Findings
The authors discuss consequences of playing strategies within ongoing scenarios, as well as the research directions about moving scales, stakeholders’ dominance and time issues.
Originality/value
The paper proposes a method to distort and transform scenarios. The authors suggest supplementing strategic foresight in iterative processes to challenge the boundaries of plausible futures, bridging the gap between theoretical ever-changing processes and the moving rhythms of actions.
Keywords
Citation
Marchais-Roubelat, A. and Roubelat, F. (2015), "Designing a moving strategic foresight approach: ontological and methodological issues of scenario design", Foresight, Vol. 17 No. 6, pp. 545-555. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-12-2014-0085
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2015, Emerald Group Publishing Limited