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Factors driving risk in the US banking industry: The role of capital, franchise value and lobbying

Katina Gregory (Finance Discipline Group, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, Australia)
Gerhard Hambusch (Finance Discipline Group; and Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, Australia; AND Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia)

International Journal of Managerial Finance

ISSN: 1743-9132

Article publication date: 1 June 2015

1053

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate how several key risk factors, including capital-to-asset ratio (CAR), franchise value and lobbying, affect various measures of risk in the US banking industry before, during and after the financial crisis. The empirical analysis covers the period 2004-2013.

Design/methodology/approach

Using recent bank holding company data, this research explores several factors driving risk in the US banking industry. The authors follow recent regulatory models and use a cross-sectional approach that can be employed as a complement to established regulatory bank failure and early warning models to detect and prevent bank crisis and to guide policy intervention over time.

Findings

The findings provide evidence that the CAR has a negative relationship with bank risk. The authors also show that banks’ franchise values exhibit a positive relationship with bank risk in non-crisis years and a negative relationship during the crisis. The authors further find evidence suggesting that lobbying decreases bank risk in non-crisis years and increases risk during the crisis.

Originality/value

Previous studies have controversially discussed the effect of factors driving bank risk. The authors contribute to the discussion and provide the first empirical study to analyze the effects of lobbying activities by bank holding companies on bank risk before, during and after the financial crisis.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors acknowledge numerous discussions with the colleagues; in particular Lorenzo Casavecchia, Kristoffer Glover, Marco Navone and Harald Scheule. The authors also thank an anonymous referee for useful comments. The usual disclaimers apply.

Citation

Gregory, K. and Hambusch, G. (2015), "Factors driving risk in the US banking industry: The role of capital, franchise value and lobbying", International Journal of Managerial Finance, Vol. 11 No. 3, pp. 388-410. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMF-02-2015-0017

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2015, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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