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Greek fiscal crisis and repercussions for the property market

Prodromos Vlamis (Centre of Planning and Economic Research, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK)

Journal of Property Investment & Finance

ISSN: 1463-578X

Article publication date: 28 January 2014

1496

Abstract

Purpose

The aim of the paper is to present a review of the fiscal imbalances and debt crisis in Greece and identify the possible links with the recent developments in the Greek property market.

Design/methodology/approach

The author follows a non-technical approach to discuss a number of factors that have contributed to the fiscal crisis that Greece has been experiencing since October 2009. The author critically analyses both the “internal” causes of the deteriorating fiscal stance of the Greek economy (that is the prolonged macroeconomic imbalances that the Greek economy faces and the credibility problem of macroeconomic policy) and the “external” factors that might have contributed to the Greek fiscal crisis (that is implications of the recent financial turmoil and the timing of the response of Europe to the Greek fiscal crisis). The author then studies the extent to which fiscal imbalances and the debt crisis have affected the Greek property sector.

Findings

The analysis indicates that the current fiscal stance of the Greek economy and the Greek property market crisis are intertwined.

Practical implications

The author believes that these results are useful, make a contribution to the existing knowledge and provide some evidence that current economic recession has a considerable adverse effect on the property sector in Greece.

Originality/value

One of the distinctive features of the paper is to critically discuss the direct and indirect effects of the prolonged macroeconomic imbalances on the Greek property sector. To the best of the author's knowledge, none of the existing studies in this area provides systematic treatment of the Greek fiscal crisis as a contributory factor in explaining the current crisis in the Greek property market.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The author would like to thank discussants of the paper and conference participants at the 3rd Academic Conference in Property Management, Valuation and Development, Regional Development Institute, Panteion University, 3-4 December 2012, Athens, Greece, and seminar participants at the Centre of Planning and Economic Research, 16 March 2011, Athens, Greece, for useful comments and discussions. This paper has greatly benefited from the constructive suggestions of Vassilis Monastiriotis. The author would also like to thank Nick Chatzitsolis and Antonis Rovolis for valuable comments. Special thanks go to two anonymous referees and Nick French, the Editor of the Journal of Property Investment and Finance, for their valuable suggestions. The usual caveat applies.

Citation

Vlamis, P. (2014), "Greek fiscal crisis and repercussions for the property market", Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Vol. 32 No. 1, pp. 21-34. https://doi.org/10.1108/JPIF-08-2013-0052

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2014, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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