Search
  Advanced Search
 
Journal search
Journal cover: foresight

foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Online from: 1999

Subject Area: Strategy

Content: Latest Issue | icon: RSS Latest Issue RSS | Previous Issues

Options: To add Favourites and Table of Contents Alerts please take a Emerald profile

Icon: .Table of Contents.Next article.Icon: .

The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques


Document Information:
Title:The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques
Author(s):Peter Bishop, (Associate Professor at the University of Houston, Houston, Texas, USA.), Andy Hines, (Senior Director of Consulting at Social Technologies, Washington, DC, USA.), Terry Collins, (Research Assistant at the University of Houston, Houston, Texas, USA.)
Citation:Peter Bishop, Andy Hines, Terry Collins, (2007) "The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques", foresight, Vol. 9 Iss: 1, pp.5 - 25
Keywords:Futures markets, Management techniques, Research methods
Article type:Literature review
DOI:10.1108/14636680710727516 (Permanent URL)
Publisher:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Abstract:

PurposeThe paper aims to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in the literature, along with comments on their utility, strengths and weaknesses.

Design/methodology/approachThe study was carried out through an electronic search using internet search engines and online databases and indexes.

FindingsThe paper finds eight categories of techniques that include a total of 23 variations used to develop scenarios. There are descriptions and evaluations for each.

Practical implicationsFuturists can use this list to broaden their repertoire of scenario techniques.

Originality/valueScenario development is the stock-in-trade of futures studies, but no catalog of the techniques used has yet been published. This list is the start at developing a consensus list of techniques that can be refined as the field matures.



Fulltext Options:

Login

Login

Existing customers: login
to access this document

Login


- Forgot password?
- Athens/Institutional login

Purchase

Purchase

Downloadable; Printable; Owned
HTML, PDF (155kb)Purchase

To purchase this item please login or register.

Login


- Forgot password?

Recommend to your librarian

Complete and print this form to request this document from your librarian


Marked list


Bookmark & share

Reprints & permissions