Online from: 1972
Subject Area: Electrical & Electronic Engineering
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|Title:||The study on the coupling model of unconventional incidents|
|Author(s):||Baohua Yang, (School of Management, Xuzhou Normal University, Xuzhou City, China), Shili Fang, (College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China), Jinshuai Zhao, (School of Management, Xuzhou Normal University, Xuzhou City, China)|
|Citation:||Baohua Yang, Shili Fang, Jinshuai Zhao, (2012) "The study on the coupling model of unconventional incidents", Kybernetes, Vol. 41 Iss: 5/6, pp.664 - 673|
|Keywords:||Contingency planning, Coupling, Emergency management, Emergency measures, GERTS network, Scenario deduction, Unconventional incidents|
|Article type:||Research paper|
|DOI:||10.1108/03684921211243329 (Permanent URL)|
|Publisher:||Emerald Group Publishing Limited|
|Acknowledgements:||This article is one of the results of the research activity carried out under the frame of the project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China, through grant numbers 90924022, 70971064 and 70901041. At the same time the authors would like to acknowledge the partial support of the latter part of the Philosophy and Social Science Research Projects funded by the Ministry of Education, number 07JHQ0053, and the National Philosophy and Social Sciences Fund projects numbers 08AJY024, 10zd&014, Philosophy and Social Science Research Projects funded by the Ministry of Education, number 08JA630039.|
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to attempt to realize a complete analysis at scenario deduction of unconventional incidents coupling based on the GERTS network method.
Design/methodology/approach – Starting from the manifestation of coupling objects, three types of emergency coupling are analyzed according to different rules, which are “events-events” coupling, “event-factors” coupling and “factors-factors” coupling. Then the coupling mechanism for emergency is focused on analyzing, and the concepts of three types of coupling are put forward, at the same time, three quantitative models for coupling mechanisms are present. Also, a case was discussed to verify the analysis of coupling mechanism of emergency.
Findings – According to the types of factors rules, the classes of coupling of emergency have been divided into three types. The coupling mechanism of emergency can be used to describe the novel coupling models.
Practical implications – This research provides the method for coupling analysis in the scenario of unconventional incidents and guides the emergency managers to develop contingency strategies.
Originality/value – The paper succeeds in constructing a novel coupling model for emergency, and it could provide an effective tool for a quantitative study on unconventional incidents coupling.
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