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Portfolio balance effects and the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchases

Thomas Emmerling (M&T Bank, Buffalo, New York, USA)
Robert Jarrow (Cornell University College of Arts and Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA)
Yildiray Yildirim (William Newman Department of Real Estate, Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, New York, New York, USA)

Studies in Economics and Finance

ISSN: 1086-7376

Article publication date: 5 March 2018

263

Abstract

Purpose

Whereas much of previous literature focuses upon the impact on yields from the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs), the purpose of this paper is to study the changes to expected returns.

Design/methodology/approach

This empirical investigation offers support for changes to risk premia coincident with LSAPs.

Findings

For both equity and bonds, the authors find evidence for supply/demand LSAPs effects; the equity effects are consistent with a substitution effect from bonds to equities, whereas the bond effects appear to be an anomaly.

Originality/value

The findings represent new insight for weighing the efficacy and identifying the scope of LSAPs.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors thank Warren Bailey, John Cochrane, Darrell Duffie, Antti Ilmanen, Luis Viceira, the participants of the Syracuse University Whitman School of Management Finance Seminar and the Worcester Polytechnic Institute Financial Mathematics/Stochastics seminar for helpful comments and suggestions.

Citation

Emmerling, T., Jarrow, R. and Yildirim, Y. (2018), "Portfolio balance effects and the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchases", Studies in Economics and Finance, Vol. 35 No. 1, pp. 2-24. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-10-2017-0284

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2018, Emerald Publishing Limited

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