Improvement of random forest by multiple imputation applied to tower crane accident prediction with missing data

Abstract

Purpose

This research is aimed at predicting tower crane accident phases with incomplete data.

Design/methodology/approach

The tower crane accidents are collected for prediction model training. Random forest (RF) is used to conduct prediction. When there are missing values in the new inputs, they should be filled in advance. Nevertheless, it is difficult to collect complete data on construction site. Thus, the authors use multiple imputation (MI) method to improve RF. Finally the prediction model is applied to a case study.

Findings

The results show that multiple imputation RF (MIRF) can effectively predict tower crane accident when the data are incomplete. This research provides the importance rank of tower crane safety factors. The critical factors should be focused on site, because the missing data affect the prediction results seriously. Also the value of critical factors influences the safety of tower crane.

Practical implication

This research promotes the application of machine learning methods for accident prediction in actual projects. According to the onsite data, the authors can predict the accident phase of tower crane. The results can be used for tower crane accident prevention.

Originality/value

Previous studies have seldom predicted tower crane accidents, especially the phase of accident. This research uses tower crane data collected on site to predict the phase of the tower crane accident. The incomplete data collection is considered in this research according to the actual situation.

Citation

Jiang, L., Zhao, T., Feng, C. and Zhang, W. (2023), "Improvement of random forest by multiple imputation applied to tower crane accident prediction with missing data", Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, Vol. 30 No. 3, pp. 1222-1242. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-07-2021-0606