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A human resources analytics and machine-learning examination of turnover: implications for theory and practice

Dan Avrahami (Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel)
Dana Pessach (Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel)
Gonen Singer (Faculty of Engineering, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel)
Hila Chalutz Ben-Gal (Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Afeka Tel-Aviv Academic College of Engineering, Tel Aviv, Israel)

International Journal of Manpower

ISSN: 0143-7720

Article publication date: 11 March 2022

Issue publication date: 22 August 2022

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Abstract

Purpose

What do antecedents of turnover tell us when examined using human resources (HR) analytics and machine-learning tools, and what are the respective theoretical and practical implications? Although the turnover literature is expansive, empirical evidence on turnover antecedents studied using data science tools remains limited.

Design/methodology/approach

To help reinvigorate research in this field, the authors propose a novel examination of turnover antecedents—competencies, commitment, trust and cultural values—using big data tools to develop a granular, case-dependent measure of turnover.

Findings

Using archival data from 700,000 employees of a large organization collected over a period of ten years, the authors find that turnover is generally associated with varying levels of these antecedents. However, in more fine-grained analysis, their relation to turnover is contingent upon role, person and cultural background.

Originality/value

The authors discuss the implications on turnover and strategic HR research and the potential of Artificial Intelligence and machine-learning methods in the design and implementation of managerial and HR planning initiatives.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

This paper was partially supported by the Koret Foundation Grant for Smart Cities and Digital Living 2030.

Citation

Avrahami, D., Pessach, D., Singer, G. and Chalutz Ben-Gal, H. (2022), "A human resources analytics and machine-learning examination of turnover: implications for theory and practice", International Journal of Manpower, Vol. 43 No. 6, pp. 1405-1424. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJM-12-2020-0548

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2022, Emerald Publishing Limited

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