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Toward a typology of weak-signal early alert systems: functional early warning systems in the post-COVID age

Jan Černý (Department of Information Technologies, Faculty of Informatics and Statistics, Prague University of Economics and Business, Prague, Czech Republic)
Martin Potančok (Department of Information Technologies, Faculty of Informatics and Statistics, Prague University of Economics and Business, Prague, Czech Republic)
Elias Castro Hernandez (Industrial Engineering and Operations Research Department, Sutardja Center for Entrepreneurship and Technology, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA)

Online Information Review

ISSN: 1468-4527

Article publication date: 28 October 2021

Issue publication date: 16 August 2022

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Abstract

Purpose

The study aims to expand on the concept of an early warning system (EWS) by introducing weak-signal detection, human-in-the-loop (HIL) verification and response tuning as integral parts of an EWS's design.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors bibliographically highlight the evolution of EWS over the last 30+ years, discuss instances of EWSs in various types of organizations and industries and highlight limitations of current systems.

Findings

Proposed system to be used in the transforming of weak signals to early warnings and associated weak/strong responses.

Originality/value

The authors contribute to existing literature by presenting (1) novel approaches to dealing with some of the well-known issues associated with contemporary EWS and (2) an event-agnostic heuristic for dealing with weak signals.

Peer review

The peer review history for this article is available at: https://publons.com/publon/10.1108/OIR-11-2020-0513.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to acknowledge the long-term institutional support of research activities by the Faculty of Informatics and Statistics, Prague University of Economics and Business (IP400040) and the Program Committee of CASLIN (https://caslin.net/), the international library workshop, for accessing the qualitative & quantitative data for our research. The authors would also like to thank Dr. James Partridge, Professor Ikhlaq Sidhu, Assoc. Professor Ota Novotný, the Faculty of Informatics and Statistics at Prague University of Economics and Business, Data & Business platform, and the Sutardja Center for Entrepreneurship & Innovation at UC Berkeley for their academic support.

Citation

Černý, J., Potančok, M. and Castro Hernandez, E. (2022), "Toward a typology of weak-signal early alert systems: functional early warning systems in the post-COVID age", Online Information Review, Vol. 46 No. 5, pp. 904-919. https://doi.org/10.1108/OIR-11-2020-0513

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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