Index

Regression Discontinuity Designs

ISBN: 978-1-78714-390-6, eISBN: 978-1-78714-389-0

ISSN: 0731-9053

Publication date: 13 May 2017

This content is currently only available as a PDF

Citation

(2017), "Index", Regression Discontinuity Designs (Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 38), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 503-512. https://doi.org/10.1108/S0731-905320170000038021

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2017 Emerald Publishing Limited


INDEX

Adult sanctions
, 77, 82

incapacitation effects of
, 102

Affordable Care Act
, 284

Age-based law enforcement discretion
, 95–96

Age distribution of crime
, 139

Area Median Gross Income (AMGI)
, 400–401

As-if random assignment
, 13, 157, 161

Assignment variable, measurement error in

baseline statistical model
, 459–463

continuous assignment variable and measurement error
, 484

estimation
, 490–492

imperfect compliance identification
, 489–490

perfect compliance identification
, 484–489

discrete assignment variable and measurement error
, 463

assignment variable distribution and RD treatment effect
, 473–474

conditional expectation functions and RD treatment effect
, 472–473

potential issues in practical implementation
, 476–477

simple numerical example
, 477–484

true assignment variable distribution
, 464

Medicaid takeup and crowdout
, 492–495

with regression discontinuity design
, 456

Asymptotic mean-squared error (AMSE)
, 360, 369, 423, 437

Availability of RD design
, 2

Average treatment effect (ATE)
, 3, 6, 10, 15, 16, 23, 55–57, 154, 197, 200, 211, 239, 285, 334, 335, 345, 386, 426, 440, 441

BadgerCare
, 151

BadgerCare Plus (BC+) program
, 151–152, 177

Bajari, Hong, Park, and Town’s model
, 49–54

Bandwidth
, 7, 18, 91, 156, 286, 346–347, 359, 366, 369, 384–385

and kernel
, 429

selection
, 156

“Baseline arrest”
, 83–85, 90, 92

Baseline statistical model
, 459–463

Becker’s model of crime
, 103–104

Bellman equation
, 104

Benchmark Plan
, 151

Benefit elasticity, estimates of
, 362, 375

Bias correction
, 343, 359, 424, 438

bootstrap
, 430–435, 439

Bias estimation
, 430

Bootstrap bias correction
, 430–435

Bootstrap confidence intervals for sharp RD designs
, 421

application
, 440–442

background
, 425–430

bootstrap bias correction
, 430–435

simulation evidence
, 436–440

California’s three-strikes law
, 75, 78–79

CCF (Calonico, Cattaneo, and Farrell)
, 384, 387, 388, 390, 393, 394, 410

CCFT (Calonico, Cattaneo, Farrell, and Titiunik)
, 343, 346, 347, 361

CCT (Calonico, Cattaneo, and Titiunik)
, 343, 345, 346, 347, 384, 389, 391, 393, 423, 424, 425, 428, 430, 438, 449, 453

Child Development Study (CDS)
, 457

Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP)
, 150, 457

copayments in
, 150–152

CJLPM (Card, Johnston, et al.)
, 374–375

CLPW (Card, Lee, Pei, and Weber)
, 343–346, 378n2, 378n3

Clustered data, RD designs with
, 383

application
, 399–406

distributional approximation
, 393–394

extensions
, 394–395

main results
, 388

clustering at running variable level
, 390–393

setup and notation
, 385–388

simulations
, 395–399

Cluster-robust bandwidth
, 385, 394, 396, 404, 405

“Cluster-robust” standard error formulas
, 384, 402

Comparative regression discontinuity (CRD) design
, 240

CRD-CG design
, 265

estimated bias
, 266–268

RCT results
, 265–266

statistical efficiency
, 268–269

support for functional form assumptions
, 266

CRD-pre design
, 258–260

estimated bias
, 262–263

results for
, 258–260

statistical efficiency
, 263–264

support for functional form assumptions
, 260–262, 266

data and analysis methods
, 250

causal estimates for CRD and basic RD designs
, 256–257

causal estimates for RCT design
, 254–256

checking parallel assumptions of CRD
, 253–254

comparing efficiency across designs
, 258

creating basic RD, CRD-pre and CRD-CG designs
, 251–253

study data
, 250–251

designs and within-study comparison approach
, 241

gains statistical power from CRD
, 248

identification of causal effects using
, 244–247

implementation and estimation
, 247

sensitivity test
, 269–271

testing CRD using a within-study comparison approach
, 248

Complier probability derivative (CPD)
, 319, 322, 333

fuzzy design treatment effect derivative (TED) and
, 323–324

Compound treatments
, 161–163, 220–221

Computerized Criminal History (CCH) system
, 128

Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
, 198–200

Conditional geographic mean independence
, 160–161, 207

Confidence intervals (CIs)
, 25, 112, 273–274, 359, 361, 366, 394, 423

Continuity-based RD design
, 3, 6, 7, 10, 16

and local randomization
, 8–11

Continuous assignment variable and measurement error
, 484

estimation
, 490–492

imperfect compliance identification
, 489–490

perfect compliance identification
, 484–489

Conventional (naive) CIs
, 427, 439

Copayments in CHIP
, 150–152

County-level tax rates
, 194

Covariate balance near municipal borders
, 203–206

Covariate index
, 353–354

Covariates
, 4, 163, 170–172, 334, 369–374

Coverage error (CE)
, 346, 395, 396

Crime control policies
, 77

Cumulative distribution function (CDF)
, 32, 42, 53, 62, 104

Current Population Survey (CPS)
, 62

Data-dependent estimation approaches
, 347

Data-generating processes (DGPs)
, 343, 366, 395, 424, 427, 432, 436, 437

Density-based identification
, 32, 55

Density discontinuity approach
, 29, 33, 55–58

Bajari, Hong, Park, and Town’s model
, 49

identification
, 52–54

model
, 49–52

Doyle’s model
, 38

identification
, 41–43

inference on the discontinuity in density
, 58–64

Jales’ model
, 43–48

identification
, 48–49

Kleven and Waseem’s model
, 34

economic model
, 34–35

identification
, 36–38

statistical model
, 35–36

minimum wage
, 38

Density test
, 282, 309

Deterrence, defined
, 117

Deterrence effect of prison
, 73

arrest-level database
, 128

construction of data set
, 128

date variables
, 128–129

arrest probabilities
, 134–140

average incarceration lengths
, 129–133

data and sample
, 82

main analysis sample
, 83–86

measurement and reporting discontinuities
, 86–87

evidence on deterrence and incapacitation
, 87

age-based law enforcement discretion
, 95–96

evidence on deterrence
, 87–92

evidence on incapacitation
, 101–103

expungement of juvenile records
, 96–101

transfers of juveniles to the adult criminal court
, 92–95

existing literature
, 77–80

identification and estimation
, 80–82

predicted effects from dynamic model of crime
, 103

benchmark model calibration and predicted values for θ
, 106–110

connecting θ to broader policy elasticities
, 111–112

model
, 103–106

nonparametric bounds on policy elasticities
, 112–114

Differences-in-differences (DID)
, 152, 179

Discontinuous assignment of treatment at geographic boundary
, 152

in the absence of geo-located individual data
, 156–157

geo-location of few coarse geographic units
, 158–161

geo-location of small aggregate units
, 157–158

GRD designs when data is geo-located
, 153–156

Discrete assignment variable and measurement error
, 463

assignment variable distribution and RD treatment effect
, 473–474

conditional expectation functions and RD treatment effect
, 472–473

potential issues in practical implementation
, 476–477

simple numerical example
, 477–484

true assignment variable distribution
, 464

imperfect compliance
, 468–472

perfect compliance
, 464–468

Discrete test for running variable manipulation
, 286–289

additional support points
, 291

choosing k
, 291–292

critical values
, 289–291

null distribution
, 289–291

power
, 289–291

test statistic
, 289–291

Distributional approximation
, 385, 393–394

Double-dose algebra
, 8, 14, 23

“Doughnut hole” design
, 166

Doyle’s model
, 38–43

extensive–margin response and imperfect compliance
, 41

identification
, 41–43

Dual-economy setting
, 44

Dynamic model of crime, predicted effects from
, 103

benchmark model calibration and predicted values for θ
, 106–110

connecting θ to broader policy elasticities
, 111–112

model
, 103–106

nonparametric bounds on policy elasticities
, 112–114

Econometric framework
, 284

discrete test for running variable manipulation
, 286–289

standard tests for running variable manipulation
, 285–286

Effect structure assumption
, 33, 54, 58, 64, 65

Elasticity
, 38, 65, 112–114, 115, 142, 144

intertemporal
, 146

Employment effects
, 31, 38, 41, 42, 43, 49

“Excess of mass”, concept of
, 43

Exclusion restriction
, 5, 11, 15–16, 18

local independence and
, 19–21

Experimental analysis under local independence
, 22–24

Experimental samples used to assess validity
, 211–213

External validity
, 210–213, 216–219, 222, 318–319, 320, 325, 337

Falsification test
, 163, 165, 167, 168, 171–175, 247, 320

Family and Medical Leave Act
, 284

FG (Fan and Gijbels)
, 343, 347, 355, 359–361

“First arrest”
, 83, 101, 103, 107

Fisherian randomization-based approach
, 5, 15–16

Fixed-G calculations
, 384, 388, 411

Florida Department of Law Enforcement (FDLE)
, 83, 95, 122, 128

Forcing variable
, 30–32, 55, 57, 58, 318

imperfect control of
, 31

Fuzzy design treatment effect derivative (TED) and complier probability derivative (CPD)
, 322–324

“Fuzzy” generalization of the sharp design
, 345

Fuzzy RD design
, 25n3, 322, 323, 329, 337, 395

Fuzzy RKD estimates
, 346, 360–361

Geographically discontinuous treatment assignments
, 147, 152

in the absence of geo-located individual data
, 156–157

application
, 168

analysis plan
, 171–172

balance results and placebo tests
, 175–179

data
, 168–171

falsification test
, 172–175

outcome estimates
, 179–180

county level tax rates
, 194

discussion
, 180–182

empirical application
, 150–152

geo-location of few coarse geographic units
, 158–161

geo-location of small aggregate units
, 157–158

GRD designs when data is geo-located
, 153–156

particularities of
, 161

compound treatments
, 161–163

interference
, 165–166

and internal validity
, 163–165

local nature of effects
, 166–167

spatial treatment effects
, 167–168

placebo tests
, 191

Geographic discontinuity design (GDD)
, 196

Geographic quasi experiment (GQE)
, 161, 164, 175, 197, 201

compound treatment irrelevance
, 220–221

covariate balance near municipal borders
, 203–206

estimates
, 209–210

experimental samples used to assess validity
, 211–213

external validity
, 210–211, 216–219

internal validity
, 210–211, 219–220

inverse-probability weighting and external validity
, 213–215

potential threats to internal validity
, 207–208

sample
, 201–203

Geographic regression discontinuity (GRD)
, 150

GRD designs when data is geo-located
, 153–156

Growth in RD empirical applications
, 2

Head Start application
, 274, 440

Head Start program
, 437, 440–442

Health care utilization
, 152, 154, 162, 165, 168, 170, 177–181, 457

trends in (2007–2008)
, 189–190

Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors
, 394, 402

Hypothesis tests
, 423, 428

Hypothetical experiment
, 4

Identification strategy
, 40, 75, 78, 80–82, 175

IK (Imbens and Kalyanaraman)
, 384, 391

Incapacitation

defined
, 117

effect
, 76–77, 79, 82

evidence on
, 101–103

Index crimes
, 84, 86, 133

Informal sectors
, 43–44, 49

Informational constraints, in medical industry
, 49–54

Instrumental variables (IVs) designs
, 3

Insurance copays
, 152–153

Internal validity
, 163–164, 210–211, 219–220

potential threats to
, 207–208

Interpretation of RD designs
, 2–5, 25, 157

Intertemporal elasticity
, 2–5, 146

Inverse-probability weighting and external validity
, 213–215

Iterated bootstrap
, 424, 430, 434, 435, 452

Jales’ model
, 43–49

identification
, 48–49

missing and excess of mass
, 47

Juvenile Justice Reform Act (JJRA) (1994)
, 86–87, 95, 140

Juvenile records
, 85, 95

expungement of
, 96–101

Juveniles

crime rates
, 78

justice system
, 78

transfers of, to adult criminal court
, 92–95

Kernel, bandwidth and
, 429

Kernel function
, 61

Kleven and Waseem’s model
, 34, 65

bunching at tax notch
, 36

economic model
, 34–35

identification
, 36–38

statistical model
, 35–36

Labor costs
, 65

Labor unions
, 282

Latent wage
, 38, 40

Lee’s framework
, 4

Leibniz integral rule
, 141

Local average response (LAR)
, 345

Local average treatment effect (LATE)
, 239, 318, 320, 326, 327

Local experiments, interpretation of RD designs as
, 4–5, 10–11

Local independence
, 18

and exclusion restriction
, 19–21

experimental analysis under
, 22–24

random assignment of score and
, 18–19

Local likelihood approach
, 63

Local polynomial estimators
, 384, 406, 416

Local randomization RD framework
, 6, 10, 11

formalizing
, 15–18

of score/treatment
, 11–12

score value
, 12–15

Low-Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC)
, 385, 399, 402

and neighborhood characteristics
, 399–406

Manipulation test
, 58–59, 304

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework
, 458

McCrary test with discrete data
, 292–293

McCrary’s binning-based local linear approach
, 63

Mean-squared errors (MSE)
, 343, 347

MSE minimization
, 156

MSE-optimal bandwidth
, 384, 411, 416

MSE-optimal procedure
, 361

Measurement error in assignment variable

baseline statistical model
, 459–463

continuous assignment variable and measurement error
, 484

estimation
, 490–492

imperfect compliance identification
, 489–490

perfect compliance identification
, 484–489

discrete assignment variable and measurement error
, 463

assignment variable distribution and RD treatment effect
, 473–474

conditional expectation functions and RD treatment effect
, 472–473

potential issues in practical implementation
, 476–477

simple numerical example
, 477–484

true assignment variable distribution
, 464

Medicaid takeup and crowdout
, 492–495

with regression discontinuity design
, 456

Medicaid
, 458–459, 492–495

Medicaid Analytics Extracts
, 170

Medicaid takeup and crowdout
, 492–495

Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS)
, 457

Minimum wage policy
, 32, 38, 43–45

Missing mass
, 33, 36, 38, 42–43, 68

“Missing workers”, concept of
, 38

Modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP)
, 158

Moment generating functions (MGFs)
, 466

Monte Carlo simulations
, 61, 309, 343, 364–365, 367–368

MTTE, treatment effect derivative (TED) and
, 335–336

Naïve RD interval
, 423

National Labor Relations Board (NLRB)
, 283

Neyman–Rubin framework
, 2, 3

Non-Index crimes
, 96

Notches
, 34–35

Null distribution
, 289–291

Observed information matrix (OIM)
, 119

Optimal bandwidth
, 416

Optimal bandwidth selectors
, 384–385, 406

Outer product of the gradient (OPG)
, 119

Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID)
, 457

“Pass/fail” threshold
, 30

Policing elasticity
, 142

Policy reforms, types of
, 76

Political parties
, 282

Popularity of RD design
, 2

Potential outcomes regression functions
, 8, 10

“Pre-asymptotic” cluster-robust standard errors
, 394

Preventive health visits
, 151

Probability of disemployment
, 32

“Proof of concept”
, 424

Punitive criminal justice sanctions
, 75, 77

Qualified Census Tract (QCT)
, 399, 400, 401, 402, 405

“Quasi-experimental” research designs
, 3

Random assignment of score and local independence
, 18–19

Randomization
, 5, 6, 11, 17

Randomized controlled trial (RCT)
, 239

causal estimates for RCT design
, 254–256

Rdrobust software
, 91, 156

Regression functions
, 6, 8, 13, 19, 20, 24, 154, 255, 386

Regression kink design (RKD)
, 319, 341, 342

data and analysis sample
, 349–350

estimation and inference, review of
, 345–347

estimation results
, 355

alternative estimators, comparison of
, 361–369

comparison with Missouri RKD application in card
, 374–375

covariates, estimates with
, 369–374

fuzzy RKD estimates
, 360–361

reduced form kinks in treatment and outcome variables
, 355–360

graphical overview of the effect of kinks in the UI benefit schedule
, 350–355

identification, review of
, 344–345

unemployment insurance (UI) benefit schedule in Austria
, 348–349

Reimbursement schemes
, 49–54

Relative punitiveness
, 78, 117

Root-mean-squared error (RMSE)
, 363, 366, 380n20

Running variable
, 2–3, 5, 13, 19, 21, 23, 57, 80, 82, 149–150, 154–155, 157–158, 282–288, 291–301, 303, 304, 309, 315, 319, 321, 329, 335, 371, 384–388, 390, 392, 396–399

“Second arrest”
, 83, 101, 107

Sector-specific density of wages
, 46

Selection-on-observables assumption
, 3, 164, 211

Sharp design, “fuzzy” generalization of
, 345

Sharp design treatment effect derivative (TED)
, 321–322

Sharp RD designs, bootstrap confidence intervals for. See Bootstrap confidence intervals for sharp RD designs

“Sharp” RKD
, 344

Simulation evidence
, 436–440

Simulation extrapolation (SIMEX) method
, 458, 489–490, 492, 496, 498

Small aggregate units, geo-location of
, 157–158

Smoothness-based RD methods
, 155

Stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA)
, 153, 165, 320, 336

Standard Plan
, 151

Standard tests for running variable manipulation
, 285–286

Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP)
, 458

Tax system
, 34, 35, 65

Taylor expansion
, 37, 412, 424

Testing stability of regression discontinuity models
, 317

covariates
, 334

empirical examples
, 325–334

fuzzy design treatment effect derivative (TED) and complier probability derivative (CPD)
, 322–324

literature review
, 320–321

sharp design treatment effect derivative (TED)
, 321–322

stability
, 324–325

treatment effect derivative (TED) and MTTE
, 335–336

Test statistic
, 61, 63, 284, 287, 289–291

Threshold
, 31–34, 49, 318–320, 326, 327, 329, 330, 331, 333, 335–336, 337

Treatment effect derivative (TED)
, 318–319, 324

fuzzy design TED and complier probability derivative (CPD)
, 322–324

and MTTE
, 335–336

sharp design
, 321–322

Treatment effect ratio
, 57–58

Treatment-on-the-treated (TOT)
, 239, 241, 244, 249, 255, 257, 345

Triangular kernel function
, 61

Two-stage least squares (2SLS)
, 331

Unemployment insurance (UI) benefit schedule in Austria
, 348–349

graphical overview of the effect of kinks in
, 350–355

Unemployment Insurance (UI) records
, 329

Variance components
, 450

“Victimless” offenses
, 96

Weibull models
, 121

Wild bootstrap
, 424, 430, 433, 437, 438

Wisconsin CHIP program
, 151, 152

Wisconsin–Illinois border
, 159, 163, 167–168

housing prices at
, 172

Wisconsin–Illinois boundary
, 154